Harry Turtledove wrote a book called Guns of the South.  In this bit of
alternate fiction, Boers from 20th century South Africa bring AK-47s to the
Confederacy in an attempt to preserve slavery.  Not unexpectedly, the South
wins the war and RE Lee is elected President.  As I remember it, he abolishes
slavery.  This is certainly not a scholarly economic analysis.  Just an
entertaining bit of fiction.  but Turtledove does excellent research and his
books are often very accurate in the details.  He just seriously alters the
big picture, after all it is alternate history.

"David A. Ward, Jr." wrote:

> I am hoping that someone can point me to any resources (websites, texts,
> articles) that postulate the theory that... had the war of secession not
> occurred and the southern states been allowed to secede OR had won the
> war... that the practice of slavery would have been (and perhaps already
> was on its way to being) phased out. I have not really heard too much about
> this argument, but the idea is intriguing. I would be interested in seeing
> the evidence that would be cited to support that kind of argument.
>
> Thanks in advance.
>
> David
>
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